Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Evansville

95.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -21.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -2074

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 61

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 82

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIllinois State

31.6MMH Power Index54.3

98.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-13.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.0

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.0Tempo67.5

50.0%Effective FG%54.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-9.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Evansville

53—62

Illinois State

Illinois State by 9 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIllinois State

20-44FG21-60

45.0%FG%35.0%

3-143PT6-29

21.0%3PT%21.0%

10-14FT14-16

71.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds33

—Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists11

19Turnovers11

7Steals13

4Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tanner Cuff	G	37	6-9	0-1	3-4	2	4	1	0	15
Connor Turnbull	F	27	5-10	1-3	3-4	7	0	0	2	14
Gabriel Pozzato	F	40	5-10	2-4	1-2	9	0	1	0	13
Tayshawn Comer	G	38	4-10	0-2	1-2	3	1	2	0	9
Gui Tesch	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Joshua Hughes	F	35	0-2	0-1	0-0	7	1	2	2	0
Michael Day	Center	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kaia Berridge	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trent Hundley	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	35	6-12	1-4	0-0	6	2	5	0	13
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	18	2-4	1-3	6-7	2	1	2	0	11
Johnny Kinziger	G	33	2-11	0-7	4-4	4	2	0	0	8
Caden Boser	Forward	14	3-9	0-5	1-1	0	0	0	1	7
Chase Walker	F	26	3-11	0-1	0-0	6	0	2	1	6
Jordan Davis	Guard	19	1-4	1-4	2-2	1	3	1	0	5
Landon Wolf	G	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Ty Pence	G	24	1-3	1-2	1-2	9	2	2	0	4
Jack Daugherty	F	16	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

75.5Offensive Efficiency88.3

88.3Defensive Efficiency75.5

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

48.9%Effective FG%40.0%

52.3%True Shooting %45.9%

27.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.8%Free Throw Rate26.7%

31.8%3-Point Rate48.3%

0.32Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.