Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Murray State

80.6%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -415

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 77

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 88

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricBelmont

53.6MMH Power Index61.8

115.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.0Net Efficiency14.9

3.5Strength of Schedule-0.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.3Tempo70.7

54.0%Effective FG%60.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate32.7%

2.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Murray State

60—70

Belmont

Belmont by 10 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATBelmont

20-60FG26-62

33.0%FG%42.0%

5-203PT6-19

25.0%3PT%32.0%

15-17FT12-15

88.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists13

13Turnovers15

8Steals7

4Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Ellington	F	27	5-10	0-0	9-11	4	0	1	2	19
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	5-8	2-3	0-0	2	7	1	0	12
AJ Ferguson	Guard	40	3-9	1-4	2-2	8	4	1	0	9
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	13	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Terence Harcum	Guard	30	2-14	1-8	0-0	3	0	4	0	5
Alden Applewhite	F	25	1-7	1-3	2-2	5	2	0	1	5
Kylen Milton	Guard	19	1-6	0-2	2-2	7	1	1	1	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Whitt	Guard	35	7-20	1-6	3-3	6	7	2	0	18
Tyler Lundblade	G	28	5-9	3-7	5-5	3	0	0	0	18
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	29	6-14	2-4	3-3	9	1	1	1	17
Brigham Rogers	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-3	5	0	1	1	6
Drew Scharnowski	F	10	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	5
Isaiah Walker	G	32	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	4	1	0	4
Sam Orme	F	25	1-7	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	2	2
Brody Peebles	Guard	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aidan Noyes	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

83.8Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency83.8

-14.0Net Efficiency14.0

37.5%Effective FG%46.8%

44.1%True Shooting %50.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate20.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate24.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Belmont won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.