Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Missouri State

49.6%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -102

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreDrake 76

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricDrake

51.1MMH Power Index46.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

2.1Net Efficiency0.4

0.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.9Tempo68.6

51.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.4Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–109.1), net efficiency (2.1–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.2–51.8), ball security (14.9–16.4).

Final

Missouri State

60—68

Drake

Drake by 8 • 58.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATDrake

20-49FG24-53

41.0%FG%45.0%

10-193PT6-21

53.0%3PT%29.0%

10-14FT14-18

71.0%FT%78.0%

25Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists17

11Turnovers10

5Steals7

3Blocks3

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vincent Brady II	G	42	4-10	4-6	5-7	4	1	0	0	17
Dez White	G	38	5-12	4-7	3-5	4	2	1	0	17
Chase Martin	Guard	31	4-8	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	8
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	36	3-7	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	6
Zaxton King	G	31	2-8	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Wesley Oba	Forward	27	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	6
Logan Epes	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	4	0	1	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	45	8-15	2-6	5-5	5	3	1	0	23
Tavion Banks	G	32	5-7	1-1	3-6	11	3	1	0	14
Isaia Howard	G	26	3-11	1-6	2-3	5	3	2	1	9
Daniel Abreu	Forward	45	3-6	0-2	0-0	7	1	1	2	6
Mitch Mascari	Guard	45	2-7	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	4
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Kael Combs	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Nate Ferguson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.7Possessions58.7

102.2Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

-13.6Net Efficiency13.6

51.0%Effective FG%50.9%

53.9%True Shooting %55.2%

18.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

38.8%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Drake won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 58.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.