Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.1%Central Arkansas

25.9%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -286

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreStetson 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricStetson

54MMH Power Index40

113.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency115.9

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

71.0Tempo68.7

54.3%Effective FG%53.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.1Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–40.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–115.9), net efficiency (8.7–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.9), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

77—72

Stetson

Central Arkansas by 5 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATStetson

27-59FG27-59

46.0%FG%46.0%

5-313PT12-26

16.0%3PT%46.0%

18-19FT6-8

95.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists20

7Turnovers12

7Steals3

2Blocks1

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nehemiah Turner	F	37	13-15	0-1	11-12	11	4	3	2	37
Elias Cato	Forward	33	5-12	0-4	3-3	8	2	1	0	13
Brayden Fagbemi	G	40	4-12	2-9	2-2	4	4	1	0	12
Mike Evbagharu	G	20	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Owen Derhmann	G	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Ben Fox	Guard	19	1-6	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Cole McCormick	F	26	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Diogo Seixas	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Wood	Forward	32	9-14	7-11	0-0	4	1	2	0	25
Mehki Ellison	G	35	4-10	2-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Treyton Thompson	Forward	21	4-7	0-0	1-2	6	2	0	0	9
Finley Sheridan	F	17	4-7	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Josh Massey	Forward	24	2-6	0-0	4-5	5	2	0	1	8
Tristan Gross	G	18	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	26	2-9	0-2	1-1	3	2	0	0	5
Blaize Sagna	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	6	0	0	0
Daniel Macgregor	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency111.8

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

50.0%Effective FG%55.9%

56.6%True Shooting %57.3%

10.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

32.2%Free Throw Rate13.6%

52.5%3-Point Rate44.1%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.