UCLA

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%UCLA

41.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -140

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCLA 75

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 73

Team Comparison

UCLAMetricNorthwestern

63MMH Power Index55.4

115.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

106.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

9.0Net Efficiency1.8

5.1Strength of Schedule5.6

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

66.5Tempo65.6

53.5%Effective FG%51.9%

13.4%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

6.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–55.4), offensive efficiency (115.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (106.9–109.8), net efficiency (9.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.1), ball security (13.0–13.4), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

UCLA

73—69

Northwestern

UCLA by 4 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCLATEAM STATNorthwestern

27-58FG25-53

47.0%FG%47.0%

7-233PT7-19

30.0%3PT%37.0%

12-16FT12-14

75.0%FT%86.0%

38Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds4

19Assists17

12Turnovers8

6Steals6

6Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Bilodeau	F	24	8-14	1-5	2-2	3	2	1	0	19
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	24	3-6	2-3	4-4	6	1	0	0	12
Aday Mara	C	16	5-8	0-0	1-3	10	1	0	3	11
Skyy Clark	G	26	3-9	1-5	3-4	4	7	2	1	10
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	15	2-3	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Kobe Johnson	Guard	31	2-4	1-3	0-0	7	3	2	1	5
Sebastian Mack	G	22	2-6	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	5
Dylan Andrews	G	30	2-7	0-3	0-1	2	3	0	1	4
William Kyle III	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trent Perry	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Berry	Guard	34	7-13	4-9	4-4	7	2	3	0	22
Nick Martinelli	F	39	6-13	0-2	8-10	6	3	1	0	20
K.J. Windham	G	28	4-11	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	1	10
Matthew Nicholson	Center	32	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	6
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	8	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Justin Mullins	G	35	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Jordan Clayton	G	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	7	1	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

113.7Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency113.7

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

52.6%Effective FG%53.8%

55.6%True Shooting %57.8%

18.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

27.6%Free Throw Rate26.4%

39.7%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.58Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

UCLA won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.