Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -113

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricWeber State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency113.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.4Net Efficiency5.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.4

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.1Tempo71.5

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–113.6), defensive efficiency (107.6–108.2), net efficiency (8.4–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.3), offensive rebounding (32.6–27.9), free throw rate (38.3–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

68—63

Weber State

Northern Colorado by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATWeber State

21-58FG22-51

36.0%FG%43.0%

12-313PT6-19

39.0%3PT%32.0%

14-18FT13-16

78.0%FT%81.0%

38Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists8

13Turnovers14

5Steals10

3Blocks2

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	39	7-14	4-7	6-7	8	2	0	0	24
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	31	4-16	2-7	5-6	6	0	1	0	15
Marcell McCreary	G	19	5-9	4-8	0-0	1	1	2	0	14
Langston Reynolds	G	33	3-7	1-2	1-2	4	3	1	0	8
Brock Wisne	F	24	1-4	0-0	1-1	6	2	0	1	3
Zach Bloch	G	17	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Quinn Denker	G	21	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	3	0	1	1
Egan Shields	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Taeshaud Jackson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	38	11-19	1-3	6-8	8	4	4	0	29
Trevor Hennig	G	37	4-10	1-3	6-6	6	2	1	1	15
Viljami Vartiainen	G	37	3-12	3-10	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Nigel Burris	F	33	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	1	3	0	4
Nemanja Sarenac	F	12	1-3	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Alex Tew	Center	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Declan Cutler	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Saadiq Moore	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency99.9

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

46.6%Effective FG%49.0%

51.1%True Shooting %53.8%

19.0%Turnover Rate20.7%

31.0%Free Throw Rate31.4%

53.4%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.