Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -372

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScorePortland State 84

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricPortland State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

112.0Defensive Efficiency100.2

-5.9Net Efficiency9.1

0.9Strength of Schedule-5.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

73.2Tempo70.1

48.5%Effective FG%51.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.0), net efficiency (9.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-5.6), ball security (14.2–16.6), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Sacramento State

56—59

Portland State

Portland State by 3 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATPortland State

21-61FG21-49

34.0%FG%43.0%

6-293PT3-17

21.0%3PT%18.0%

8-13FT14-22

62.0%FT%64.0%

34Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists15

14Turnovers19

11Steals8

1Blocks2

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emil Skytta	G	39	5-10	2-6	0-0	8	2	1	0	12
Michael Wilson	G	34	4-7	2-4	0-0	4	1	2	0	10
Jacob Holt	Forward	26	3-12	0-4	3-5	6	2	1	0	9
Chudi Dioramma	F	14	4-4	0-0	0-1	3	2	1	0	8
EJ Neal Jr.	G	28	1-8	1-7	3-3	3	1	3	1	6
Leo Ricketts	Guard	21	2-9	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
Lachlan Brewer	G	19	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Bailey Nunn	G	19	1-8	0-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	3

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	36	8-15	2-5	3-5	9	1	3	0	21
Qiant Myers	Guard	38	4-6	0-1	5-6	4	7	0	0	13
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	21	3-4	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	1	9
Jaylin Henderson	G	31	1-7	1-5	2-4	6	1	1	1	5
Terri Miller Jr.	F	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	3	0	4
Hayden Curtiss	Center	28	1-4	0-3	0-1	4	3	0	0	2
Cole Farrell	G	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Shane Nowell	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

83.1Offensive Efficiency87.5

87.5Defensive Efficiency83.1

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

39.3%Effective FG%45.9%

41.7%True Shooting %49.6%

20.5%Turnover Rate28.6%

21.3%Free Throw Rate44.9%

47.5%3-Point Rate34.7%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Portland State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.