Holy Cross

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Holy Cross

66.8%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -201

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 69

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreLafayette 74

Team Comparison

Holy CrossMetricLafayette

37.9MMH Power Index39.6

103.3Offensive Efficiency102.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-7.6Net Efficiency-7.4

-2.6Strength of Schedule-1.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

66.1Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%49.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

22.4%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-5.1Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–37.9), defensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), net efficiency (-7.4–-7.6), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.3–102.9), recent form (-5.2–-6.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Holy Cross

68—69

Lafayette

Lafayette by 1 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Holy CrossTEAM STATLafayette

28-58FG25-59

48.0%FG%42.0%

12-233PT4-17

52.0%3PT%24.0%

null-nullFT15-21

0.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists20

13Turnovers5

3Steals6

7Blocks2

17Fouls7

Player Box Score

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Green	G	38	6-15	5-9	0-0	12	3	2	1	17
Joe Nugent	G	34	6-10	5-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	17
Caleb Kenney	Forward	36	7-14	0-0	0-0	4	4	0	2	14
DeAndre Williams	G	37	5-9	2-3	0-0	4	6	0	0	12
Jaiden Feroah	F	29	2-6	0-2	0-0	12	1	1	4	4
Gabe Warren	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jaden Kirkwood	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	36	11-17	0-0	3-6	11	5	0	1	25
Alex Chaikin	G	36	6-11	3-5	3-4	0	4	0	1	18
Caleb Williams	G	35	3-11	0-2	7-9	6	6	4	0	13
Ryan Pettit	G	27	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Andrew Phillips	G	36	1-8	0-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Luka Savicevic	G	20	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Misha Bednostin	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
TJ Berger	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malik Rasul	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

104.6Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency104.6

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

58.6%Effective FG%45.8%

58.6%True Shooting %50.0%

20.3%Turnover Rate7.6%

0.0%Free Throw Rate35.6%

39.7%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.08Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.