Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Saint Louis

43.8%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -128

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 78

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDayton

66.7MMH Power Index59.9

120.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

23.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.3Strength of Schedule5.7

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.2Tempo68.3

59.9%Effective FG%52.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

16.8Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

67—75

Dayton

Dayton by 8 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDayton

26-62FG27-61

42.0%FG%44.0%

12-323PT10-25

38.0%3PT%40.0%

3-3FT11-14

100.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists13

9Turnovers11

7Steals7

3Blocks5

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	35	11-17	5-8	1-1	5	1	1	0	28
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	8-18	7-15	0-0	8	1	2	1	23
Robbie Avila	C	37	4-11	0-4	2-2	4	3	0	1	10
Amari McCottry	G	16	2-8	0-1	0-0	1	0	3	0	4
Kalu Anya	F	27	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	1	2
Kobe Johnson	Guard	35	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Dylan Warlick	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Kilian Brockhoff	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	38	7-14	3-5	0-2	9	1	2	1	17
Nate Santos	Forward	36	4-9	1-3	4-5	6	1	1	1	13
Javon Bennett	G	33	4-9	1-5	1-1	1	5	2	0	10
Amaël L'Etang	F	20	4-5	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	1	10
Zed Key	Forward	20	3-6	0-0	4-4	7	1	0	2	10
Malachi Smith	G	22	3-9	1-4	0-0	8	0	1	0	7
Posh Alexander	Guard	13	1-5	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Jaiun Simon	F	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

101.4Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

51.6%Effective FG%52.5%

52.8%True Shooting %55.4%

13.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

4.8%Free Throw Rate23.0%

51.6%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.