Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Central Michigan

55.2%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -123

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 70

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreBall State 74

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBall State

44MMH Power Index41.3

105.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-5.1Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.3Tempo66.4

52.6%Effective FG%48.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

32.9%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-3.5Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Central Michigan

69—67

Ball State

Central Michigan by 2 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBall State

27-55FG24-55

49.0%FG%44.0%

5-183PT8-22

28.0%3PT%36.0%

10-12FT11-12

83.0%FT%92.0%

33Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists11

11Turnovers10

6Steals1

2Blocks3

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	40	8-14	1-3	1-2	7	6	0	0	18
Jakobi Heady	G	37	7-15	1-4	3-3	6	0	2	0	18
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	25	4-10	1-4	4-4	6	0	1	0	13
Cayden Vasko	G	39	3-7	2-5	0-0	8	0	1	0	8
Quentin Heady	F	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	6
Decorion Temple	Forward	11	2-2	0-0	2-3	1	1	1	1	6
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	25	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	31	6-17	2-4	7-7	4	1	0	0	21
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	29	4-7	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	1	11
Payton Sparks	Center	31	4-6	0-0	0-0	9	3	0	2	8
Juanse Gorosito	G	31	3-6	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	28	2-7	1-4	1-2	0	1	0	0	6
TJ Burch	G	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Joey Hart	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mason Jones	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Ben Hendriks	Center	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zane Doughty	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

104.2Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency104.2

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

53.6%Effective FG%50.9%

56.8%True Shooting %55.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

21.8%Free Throw Rate21.8%

32.7%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.