Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Bowling Green

8.9%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -1024

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 84

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricNorthern Illinois

54.7MMH Power Index29.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

13.5Net Efficiency-11.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

72.2Tempo69.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate21.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

9.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–111.6), net efficiency (13.5–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-4.7), offensive rebounding (31.7–29.2), free throw rate (39.6–38.7).

Final

Bowling Green

71—58

Northern Illinois

Bowling Green by 13 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

23-49FG17-57

47.0%FG%30.0%

8-163PT11-39

50.0%3PT%28.0%

17-26FT13-17

65.0%FT%76.0%

45Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists14

12Turnovers7

4Steals5

4Blocks6

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	34	7-12	0-0	5-9	8	4	1	2	19
Marcus Johnson	F	30	5-13	2-3	5-7	7	4	1	0	17
Derrick Butler	Guard	37	5-10	4-7	0-0	7	0	0	0	14
DaJion Humphrey	G	38	2-7	2-4	5-5	5	2	0	0	11
Jamai Felt	F	22	3-3	0-0	0-1	5	1	1	2	6
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	26	1-4	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
Braelon Green	G	13	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	2	0	0	2

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	39	4-13	3-8	7-8	4	3	3	0	18
James Dent Jr.	G	40	4-12	3-9	2-3	7	6	0	1	13
Tsvet Sotirov	F	37	4-12	3-10	0-0	4	0	1	3	11
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	29	3-11	0-5	4-6	3	2	0	1	10
Kailon Nicholls	G	32	2-6	2-4	0-0	5	3	0	0	6
Steven Tipton	G	20	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Jayden Mott	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

104.0Offensive Efficiency84.9

84.9Defensive Efficiency104.0

19.0Net Efficiency-19.0

55.1%Effective FG%39.5%

57.9%True Shooting %44.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate10.3%

53.1%Free Throw Rate29.8%

32.7%3-Point Rate68.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.