Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Baylor

64.5%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -182

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 76

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreTCU 81

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricTCU

58.9MMH Power Index59.7

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency102.7

7.2Net Efficiency7.5

4.0Strength of Schedule4.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.7Tempo70.2

54.4%Effective FG%50.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.1Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

Baylor

61—58

TCU

Baylor by 3 • 58.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATTCU

22-50FG20-58

44.0%FG%34.0%

6-203PT6-21

30.0%3PT%29.0%

11-14FT12-18

79.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds20

17Assists14

13Turnovers12

8Steals9

1Blocks5

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	36	6-8	2-2	5-6	12	2	1	1	19
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	38	7-14	3-7	1-2	7	3	2	0	18
Robert Wright III	G	32	3-8	0-0	5-6	0	7	2	0	11
Jeremy Roach	Guard	20	2-8	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jayden Nunn	Guard	24	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Jalen Celestine	G	28	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Langston Love	G	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Marino Dubravcic	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	35	4-15	3-10	5-5	2	4	0	1	16
Trazarien White	Forward	31	5-13	1-6	0-0	7	2	3	0	11
Vasean Allette	PG	33	4-12	0-1	1-2	5	4	4	0	9
David Punch	F	19	2-5	0-0	5-5	1	0	0	2	9
Micah Robinson	F	16	2-7	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Jace Posey	G	18	1-1	1-1	0-2	5	1	0	0	3
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	30	1-1	0-0	0-2	8	1	2	1	2
Malick Diallo	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.2Possessions58.2

104.8Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

50.0%Effective FG%39.7%

53.8%True Shooting %43.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate20.5%

28.0%Free Throw Rate31.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Baylor won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 58.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.