Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.2%Boise State

2.8%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -22.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -3471

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 85

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricAir Force

59.5MMH Power Index23

113.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

6.8Net Efficiency-27.2

4.2Strength of Schedule6.2

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

68.6Tempo67.4

52.7%Effective FG%49.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

42.7%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.7Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–4.2).

Final

Boise State

80—57

Air Force

Boise State by 23 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATAir Force

25-59FG20-51

42.0%FG%39.0%

6-253PT9-27

24.0%3PT%33.0%

24-31FT8-18

77.0%FT%44.0%

41Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists12

5Turnovers12

8Steals3

3Blocks2

18Fouls25

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	28	3-6	2-3	6-8	5	0	0	1	14
Pearson Carmichael	F	23	5-9	1-4	3-4	7	0	1	0	14
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	29	4-11	3-8	2-2	5	6	1	0	13
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	22	5-10	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	11
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	16	2-5	0-2	6-9	3	1	3	1	10
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	15	3-5	0-1	1-1	1	1	1	0	7
Javan Buchanan	F	23	1-6	0-1	4-4	6	1	1	0	6
RJ Keene II	G	24	2-3	0-1	1-1	10	0	0	1	5
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	33	5-12	5-10	1-1	4	5	2	0	16
Will Cooper	F	24	3-5	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	1	7
Chase Beasley	Guard	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Byron Brown	Guard	20	2-3	0-0	2-5	2	1	0	0	6
Beau Becker	Forward	12	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Yoda Oke	Guard	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	5
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	24	1-7	0-3	1-3	1	3	1	0	3
Wesley Celichowski	C	13	1-4	0-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Sam Springer	F	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Caleb Walker	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	2
Sam Duskin	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Kyle Marshall	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Kearney	F	2	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Gatete	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

117.3Offensive Efficiency83.6

83.6Defensive Efficiency117.3

33.7Net Efficiency-33.7

47.5%Effective FG%48.0%

54.3%True Shooting %47.9%

7.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

52.5%Free Throw Rate35.3%

42.4%3-Point Rate52.9%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Boise State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.