San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%San Diego State

42.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -135

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUNLV

60.1MMH Power Index52.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

11.0Net Efficiency1.4

3.8Strength of Schedule2.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

70.8Tempo71.4

53.2%Effective FG%53.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.6%

7.8Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

67—74

UNLV

UNLV by 7 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUNLV

24-60FG25-49

40.0%FG%51.0%

7-293PT12-24

24.0%3PT%50.0%

12-20FT12-20

60.0%FT%60.0%

33Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists14

10Turnovers13

7Steals6

6Blocks5

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	34	7-15	3-6	2-6	4	3	0	0	19
Miles Byrd	G	36	5-14	2-10	3-4	10	6	4	3	15
BJ Davis	G	25	3-9	0-4	4-6	3	3	1	0	10
Miles Heide	F	21	5-5	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	10
Taj DeGourville	G	24	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	22	1-6	1-3	1-2	7	1	0	2	4
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	21	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Pharaoh Compton	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Rishwain	Guard	39	9-13	6-9	2-2	3	4	0	0	26
Jaden Henley	G	29	5-9	4-6	3-4	2	4	2	0	17
Jalen Hill	Forward	38	2-5	0-1	7-13	6	3	2	1	11
Jailen Bedford	G	29	4-10	2-6	0-0	8	3	1	0	10
Jeremiah Cherry	F	27	4-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	8
Pape N'Diaye	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Brooklyn Hicks	G	25	0-4	0-2	0-1	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

97.8Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency97.8

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

45.8%Effective FG%63.3%

48.2%True Shooting %63.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.5%

33.3%Free Throw Rate40.8%

48.3%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

UNLV won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.