Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Wagner

34.8%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -187

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricSaint Francis

42.9MMH Power Index32.7

105.5Offensive Efficiency101.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.7

-0.6Net Efficiency-13.5

-5.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

67.6Tempo70.6

50.2%Effective FG%49.8%

18.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-0.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–32.7), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.7), net efficiency (-0.6–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-5.0), ball security (18.3–18.9).

Final

Wagner

55—58

Saint Francis

Saint Francis by 3 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATSaint Francis

20-57FG22-51

35.0%FG%43.0%

3-243PT9-25

13.0%3PT%36.0%

12-17FT5-6

71.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds29

15Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists10

12Turnovers16

9Steals8

—Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	36	6-14	3-6	1-2	6	2	2	16
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	18	4-11	0-4	6-6	5	0	0	14
Javier Ezquerra	G	39	4-9	0-5	1-2	4	5	2	9
Zavier Fitch	F	31	2-2	0-0	2-2	8	2	2	6
Zae Blake	G	18	2-10	0-5	0-0	1	1	2	4
Keyontae Lewis	F	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	4
Churchill Bounds	F	26	1-2	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	2
R.J. Greene	G	12	0-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	0
Tyje Kelton	F	6	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	33	5-9	2-5	4-4	5	0	4	0	16
Daemar Kelly	G	35	5-10	3-7	0-0	6	0	2	0	13
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	29	4-9	3-6	0-0	0	2	1	0	11
Valentino Pinedo	F	37	4-8	0-0	0-0	11	3	0	1	8
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	22	3-5	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	8
Jeremy Clayville	G	12	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Chris Moncrief	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	11	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Aidan Harris	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

87.3Offensive Efficiency92.1

92.1Defensive Efficiency87.3

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

37.7%Effective FG%52.0%

42.3%True Shooting %53.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate25.1%

29.8%Free Throw Rate11.8%

42.1%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.