Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Kansas State

89.2%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -826

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 69

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreCincinnati 84

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricCincinnati

47.1MMH Power Index61.5

107.8Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

-3.1Net Efficiency8.0

5.5Strength of Schedule5.1

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

73.8Tempo69.4

53.5%Effective FG%50.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

27.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-2.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–47.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-3.1), recent form (14.4–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.8–105.3), strength of schedule (5.5–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.6).

Final

Kansas State

54—49

Cincinnati

Kansas State by 5 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATCincinnati

22-54FG21-57

41.0%FG%37.0%

3-183PT2-18

17.0%3PT%11.0%

7-10FT5-11

70.0%FT%45.0%

36Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists11

12Turnovers10

6Steals5

2Blocks4

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David N'Guessan	Guard	35	8-10	0-0	2-4	10	4	2	1	18
Dug McDaniel	G	38	5-14	1-3	2-2	2	4	2	0	13
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	34	4-10	1-3	0-0	8	3	1	1	9
Max Jones	Guard	31	4-10	1-6	0-0	7	2	1	0	9
Brendan Hausen	G	25	0-6	0-5	3-4	4	0	0	0	3
C.J. Jones	G	23	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
David Castillo	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ugonna Onyenso	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	27	5-11	2-4	0-0	2	1	2	1	12
Jizzle James	G	34	5-14	0-4	0-0	6	3	0	1	10
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	29	3-6	0-0	3-3	7	0	0	0	9
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	19	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	1	7
Simas Lukosius	Guard	24	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	5	0	0	4
Josh Reed	F	31	1-9	0-6	1-2	7	0	0	0	3
Dillon Mitchell	F	26	1-4	0-0	0-4	7	0	1	1	2
Arrinten Page	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Betsey	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

86.4Offensive Efficiency78.4

78.4Defensive Efficiency86.4

8.0Net Efficiency-8.0

43.5%Effective FG%38.6%

46.0%True Shooting %39.4%

19.1%Turnover Rate16.1%

18.5%Free Throw Rate19.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.