Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Indiana State

83.8%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -517

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 68

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricSouthern Illinois

44.4MMH Power Index54.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency103.4

106.0Defensive Efficiency98.5

-1.3Net Efficiency4.9

0.1Strength of Schedule1.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.3Tempo70.6

53.6%Effective FG%49.5%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.3%

-0.9Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.0), net efficiency (4.9–-1.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–49.5).

Final

Indiana State

85—86

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 1 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

30-60FG36-67

50.0%FG%54.0%

10-263PT9-21

38.0%3PT%43.0%

15-24FT5-8

63.0%FT%63.0%

29Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists19

8Turnovers10

6Steals7

2Blocks3

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Gray	Forward	40	11-14	3-5	2-3	8	2	1	1	27
Camp Wagner	G	25	3-8	3-7	2-2	5	4	0	1	11
Samage Teel	Guard	39	3-11	0-4	4-6	1	7	2	0	10
Bruno Alocen	G	26	2-3	2-3	4-5	1	1	1	0	10
K'mani Doughty	Guard	24	4-7	1-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	10
Jaden Daughtry	F	24	4-12	1-3	1-4	6	0	1	0	10
Markus Harding	C	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	5
Derek Vorst	C	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jayan Walker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Josiah LeGree	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	40	13-24	1-5	3-6	9	2	1	0	30
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	37	9-17	4-7	0-0	6	4	2	1	22
Drew Steffe	G	38	4-7	2-4	0-0	5	4	1	0	10
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	33	4-5	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	1	10
Davion Sykes	G	22	4-6	0-1	0-0	7	0	1	0	8
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	13	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Rolyns Aligbe	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Sheridan Sharp	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

117.1Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency117.1

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

58.3%Effective FG%60.4%

59.5%True Shooting %60.7%

10.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

40.0%Free Throw Rate11.9%

43.3%3-Point Rate31.3%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.