Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Georgia Southern

34.8%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -187

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 79

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 76

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricGeorgia State

49.1MMH Power Index38.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency101.3

110.6Defensive Efficiency107.5

1.7Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

72.0Tempo69.5

52.1%Effective FG%45.3%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.5%Free Throw Rate37.4%

1.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.3–101.3), net efficiency (1.7–-6.2), recent form (1.7–-10.9).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.6), strength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2).

Final

Georgia Southern

71—80

Georgia State

Georgia State by 9 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATGeorgia State

25-62FG26-49

40.0%FG%53.0%

9-293PT4-13

31.0%3PT%31.0%

12-20FT24-31

60.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists9

8Turnovers15

9Steals3

2Blocks4

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adante' Holiman	G	38	8-13	3-7	6-7	3	2	2	0	25
Nakavieon White	F	29	6-13	2-6	1-2	1	5	0	1	15
Tyson Brown	F	30	5-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Eugene Brown III	Forward	31	2-8	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Bradley Douglas	G	17	2-10	2-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Eren Banks	G	30	1-5	0-4	2-3	2	4	5	0	4
Dontae Horne	G	7	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Collin Kuhl	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-3	3	0	0	1	2
Braylhan Thomas	G	10	0-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	37	6-8	4-5	6-7	0	1	0	1	22
Cesare Edwards	Center	36	7-13	0-3	6-8	13	1	1	1	20
Zarique Nutter	F	29	8-13	0-0	4-5	6	3	1	0	20
Nick McMullen	Forward	24	4-4	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	1	9
Jelani Hamilton	G	24	0-7	0-3	5-6	3	2	1	0	5
Malachi Brown	G	30	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Clash Peters	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	0	2
Malik Ferguson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency100.6

-12.7Net Efficiency12.7

47.6%Effective FG%57.1%

49.7%True Shooting %62.8%

11.3%Turnover Rate21.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate63.3%

46.8%3-Point Rate26.5%

1.63Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.