Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Fairfield

71.5%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -251

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreSiena 74

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSiena

50.1MMH Power Index53.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.2Net Efficiency7.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-0.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

67.8Tempo64.4

49.1%Effective FG%50.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.9%

2.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–50.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.4), net efficiency (7.0–4.2), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–109.2), recent form (3.3–3.0), ball security (15.0–15.8).

Final

Fairfield

64—68

Siena

Siena by 4 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSiena

26-52FG23-57

50.0%FG%40.0%

3-143PT4-18

21.0%3PT%22.0%

9-11FT18-23

82.0%FT%78.0%

23Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists10

10Turnovers14

7Steals7

6Blocks3

22Fouls12

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	38	9-11	0-0	2-3	9	0	2	1	20
Braden Sparks	G	31	8-10	0-0	4-4	1	1	3	0	20
Jamie Bergens	Guard	34	4-9	0-5	0-0	2	5	2	1	8
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	31	2-4	2-3	1-2	3	0	0	3	7
Makuei Riek	Guard	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Deon Perry	Guard	28	1-9	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Peyton Smith	F	13	1-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Shoats	G	40	8-20	0-4	7-9	5	5	3	0	23
Gavin Doty	G	35	3-12	0-3	6-7	9	3	2	0	12
Brendan Coyle	F	30	3-9	3-8	3-5	2	0	1	0	12
Major Freeman	G	34	3-7	1-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	9
Peter Carey	Center	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	6
Myles Wilmoth	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	6
Tajae Jones	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
Kyle Winters	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

95.4Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency95.4

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

52.9%Effective FG%43.9%

55.9%True Shooting %50.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate20.3%

21.2%Free Throw Rate40.4%

26.9%3-Point Rate31.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Siena won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.