Liberty

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.7%Liberty

59.3%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -146

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLiberty 74

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 76

Team Comparison

LibertyMetricMiddle Tennessee

53.7MMH Power Index52.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

108.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

11.0Net Efficiency3.9

-2.0Strength of Schedule0.4

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

65.3Tempo68.8

60.5%Effective FG%52.2%

13.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

19.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

32.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

7.2Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–52.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–3.9), shooting efficiency (60.5–52.2).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–108.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.0), recent form (3.2–-4.2).

Final

Liberty

86—81

Middle Tennessee

Liberty by 5 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LibertyTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

30-55FG28-64

55.0%FG%44.0%

8-243PT7-28

33.0%3PT%25.0%

18-20FT18-26

90.0%FT%69.0%

28Rebounds39

3Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists9

11Turnovers12

7Steals5

5Blocks2

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taelon Peter	Guard	28	11-14	3-6	8-8	6	1	3	1	33
Zach Cleveland	F	35	6-9	0-0	4-5	5	6	1	2	16
Owen Aquino	F	32	5-9	0-3	2-2	7	1	0	2	12
Kaden Metheny	G	37	3-9	3-7	1-2	4	2	0	0	10
Colin Porter	G	30	2-6	0-3	3-3	2	6	1	0	7
Zander Yates	F	11	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Jayvon Maughmer	Guard	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Gabriel McKay	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Essam Mostafa	Forward	35	12-18	2-2	4-9	20	1	1	0	30
Kamari Lands	G	25	6-15	3-9	0-0	0	1	0	0	15
Camryn Weston	Guard	32	3-8	1-5	4-4	6	3	1	0	11
Jestin Porter	G	34	3-11	1-7	2-2	2	2	2	0	9
Justin Bufford	Guard	25	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jlynn Counter	G	24	0-3	0-2	5-6	0	1	1	2	5
Tre Green	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Torey Alston	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

117.8Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency117.8

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

61.8%Effective FG%49.2%

66.7%True Shooting %53.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.4%Free Throw Rate40.6%

43.6%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.55Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Liberty won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.