Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Kentucky

20.7%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -383

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 89

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricCleveland State

53.9MMH Power Index37.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency120.2

7.8Net Efficiency-8.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

72.3Tempo71.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

5.7Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Northern Kentucky

63—68

Cleveland State

Cleveland State by 5 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATCleveland State

22-64FG24-53

34.0%FG%45.0%

10-273PT1-10

37.0%3PT%10.0%

9-12FT19-22

75.0%FT%86.0%

37Rebounds36

20Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists10

15Turnovers13

7Steals9

3Blocks8

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Gherezgher	G	37	7-15	4-8	0-0	4	1	1	1	18
Keeyan Itejere	F	23	6-8	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	1	13
LJ Wells	F	26	2-8	0-0	6-7	10	0	3	1	10
Josh Dilling	Guard	37	3-13	3-11	0-1	4	2	0	0	9
Sam Vinson	Guard	37	2-10	1-4	2-2	4	6	3	0	7
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	2-9	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Randall Pettus II	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Arnett	F	37	7-14	0-0	2-4	10	4	0	4	16
Tevin Smith	Guard	24	4-9	0-0	8-8	4	0	1	2	16
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	20	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	3	0	9
Isaac Abidde	F	20	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	8
Chase Robinson	Guard	22	2-6	0-3	3-4	0	2	1	0	7
Tahj Staveskie	G	28	2-8	0-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	32	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	4	3	0	4
Cole Franklin	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	2
KJ Debrick	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

98.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency98.3

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

42.2%Effective FG%46.2%

45.2%True Shooting %53.6%

23.2%Turnover Rate20.5%

18.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

42.2%3-Point Rate18.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Cleveland State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.