Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Jackson State

80.2%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -405

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 74

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 85

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

30.7MMH Power Index38.7

98.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-18.9Net Efficiency-5.2

-0.7Strength of Schedule-6.0

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.6Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

19.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-13.5Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–98.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–29.3), free throw rate (37.9–37.7).

Final

Jackson State

76—69

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Jackson State by 7 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

28-60FG25-49

47.0%FG%51.0%

6-183PT9-24

33.0%3PT%38.0%

14-21FT10-22

67.0%FT%45.0%

35Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists16

11Turnovers15

9Steals8

—Blocks3

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Daeshun Ruffin	G	34	8-15	2-3	2-2	2	3	0	20
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	23	5-9	3-6	6-7	4	1	3	19
Romelle Mansel	Forward	29	5-10	0-2	2-4	4	4	1	12
Shannon Grant	Center	27	4-7	0-0	1-3	7	1	0	9
Keiveon Hunt	G	27	3-8	1-3	1-1	3	3	2	8
Dorian McMillian	G	27	2-7	0-2	2-4	4	0	2	6
Ebo Wilson	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2
Tamarion Hoover	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Juan Reyna	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0
Cowandric Samuel	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Doctor Bradley	G	37	7-10	0-1	6-14	9	1	2	1	20
Quentin Bolton	G	29	5-10	4-9	1-2	7	0	0	1	15
Caleb Jones	Guard	25	3-5	3-4	3-4	6	4	1	0	12
Kyle Brown	F	31	5-12	1-6	0-2	2	1	2	1	11
Christian Moore	Guard	39	4-8	1-3	0-0	3	8	3	0	9
Raphael Dumont	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dante Sawyer	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Klemen Vuga	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zachary Reinhart	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

112.1Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency112.1

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

51.7%Effective FG%60.2%

54.3%True Shooting %58.0%

16.2%Turnover Rate22.2%

35.0%Free Throw Rate44.9%

30.0%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.