Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Old Dominion

68.0%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -212

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricTexas State

47.2MMH Power Index49.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency107.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.4

-2.4Net Efficiency4.3

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.9Tempo68.6

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-1.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (107.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.8), net efficiency (4.3–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), ball security (15.4–18.4).

Final

Old Dominion

64—61

Texas State

Old Dominion by 3 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATTexas State

21-60FG23-62

35.0%FG%37.0%

8-233PT4-13

35.0%3PT%31.0%

14-18FT11-17

78.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists14

13Turnovers13

7Steals12

10Blocks6

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Davis Jr.	G	40	6-14	6-13	5-6	3	3	2	0	23
Sean Durugordon	Guard	38	7-15	2-4	3-4	12	0	2	0	19
Jaden Johnson	G	39	3-10	0-1	3-3	3	3	1	1	9
R.J. Blakney	Forward	29	4-10	0-2	1-3	5	1	1	1	9
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	29	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	7	2
Dani Pounds	F	4	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Scottie Hubbard	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Caden Diggs	F	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Donovan Raymond	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	25	6-14	1-2	2-3	6	0	0	0	15
Joshua O'Garro	G	34	3-10	1-2	4-4	10	2	0	1	11
Kaden Gumbs	G	24	5-7	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	10
Mark Drone	G	27	3-10	1-2	0-0	1	3	3	0	7
Coleton Benson	G	22	2-6	1-5	2-2	7	4	1	0	7
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	30	2-8	0-1	1-2	8	3	4	3	5
Christian Turner	Forward	26	2-5	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	2	5
Austin Green	F	8	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	3	0	1
Nate Deer	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

92.9Offensive Efficiency88.5

88.5Defensive Efficiency92.9

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

41.7%Effective FG%40.3%

46.7%True Shooting %43.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.1%

30.0%Free Throw Rate27.4%

38.3%3-Point Rate21.0%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.