Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Alabama State

77.4%Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern -342

Southern

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreSouthern 83

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricSouthern

38MMH Power Index44.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency108.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.7Net Efficiency2.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-7.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

71.9Tempo73.3

48.2%Effective FG%51.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate40.3%

-4.1Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–38.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–101.7), defensive efficiency (106.4–107.4), net efficiency (2.3–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.2–-7.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–31.9).

Final

Alabama State

66—65

Southern

Alabama State by 1 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATSouthern

23-54FG23-55

43.0%FG%42.0%

10-223PT3-20

45.0%3PT%15.0%

10-14FT16-27

71.0%FT%59.0%

29Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists9

14Turnovers9

5Steals7

1Blocks1

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	37	7-14	1-3	9-11	9	1	0	0	24
Micah Octave	G	30	4-8	3-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Amarr Knox	G	31	3-8	2-3	1-1	3	7	3	0	9
CJ Hines	G	27	3-10	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
JaSteven Walker	F	20	3-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
D'Ante Bass	Forward	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Tyler Mack	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	19	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Micah Simpson	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Jacobs	G	30	10-17	1-3	6-10	3	0	1	0	27
Jordan Johnson	G	27	4-9	2-7	2-4	5	0	2	1	12
Derrick Tezeno	Forward	24	4-5	0-1	1-1	4	0	1	0	9
Brentay Noel	F	24	1-3	0-0	5-8	7	1	1	0	7
Cam Amboree	G	27	2-8	0-5	1-2	3	4	1	0	5
DaMariee Jones	F	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Puoch Dobuol	F	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Andre Nunley	G	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Dionjahe Thomas	F	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joe Manning	G	7	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
AJ Barnes	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

98.8Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency98.8

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

51.9%Effective FG%44.5%

54.4%True Shooting %47.9%

20.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

25.9%Free Throw Rate49.1%

40.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.