Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Cal State Northridge

38.4%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -160

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 78

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Riverside

50MMH Power Index41.2

107.3Offensive Efficiency103.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

2.1Net Efficiency-7.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

75.9Tempo70.7

51.0%Effective FG%49.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.6Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–103.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.1), net efficiency (2.1–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.6), free throw rate (35.2–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

79—94

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 15 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Riverside

24-66FG29-62

36.0%FG%47.0%

7-183PT11-27

39.0%3PT%41.0%

24-37FT25-29

65.0%FT%86.0%

39Rebounds44

20Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists20

9Turnovers11

4Steals7

2Blocks8

21Fouls26

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	27	6-12	3-7	2-5	4	0	1	0	17
PJ Fuller II	Guard	35	6-12	1-4	2-2	4	6	0	0	15
Mahmoud Fofana	F	34	4-11	0-0	7-9	6	1	2	1	15
Tyler Beard	Guard	20	5-8	2-3	0-1	2	2	0	0	12
Scotty Washington	G	35	1-10	1-3	8-10	3	1	0	0	11
Keonte Jones	G	30	2-8	0-0	4-8	9	2	1	1	8
Grady Lewis	F	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Brinson	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	33	10-19	3-5	9-10	4	7	2	0	32
Kaleb Smith	F	32	5-9	3-6	6-6	5	1	2	0	19
Isaiah Moses	G	27	4-12	1-4	6-6	3	8	1	0	15
Nate Pickens	G	22	3-7	3-4	2-2	1	3	1	1	11
Niyi Olabode	Guard	25	2-6	1-4	2-2	10	1	1	0	7
Joel Armotrading	C	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	6	4
Jack Whitbourn	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Rikus Schulte	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	2
Luke Turner	Forward	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Parker Strauss	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

108.7Offensive Efficiency129.3

129.3Defensive Efficiency108.7

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

41.7%Effective FG%55.6%

47.3%True Shooting %62.0%

12.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

56.1%Free Throw Rate46.8%

27.3%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.