Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Southern Illinois

40.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -150

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreDrake 73

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricDrake

54.6MMH Power Index46.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency109.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency109.1

4.9Net Efficiency0.4

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.6Tempo68.6

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

3.4Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–46.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.1), net efficiency (4.9–0.4), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5), ball security (14.9–17.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

53—70

Drake

Drake by 17 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATDrake

19-45FG25-57

42.0%FG%44.0%

5-183PT7-23

28.0%3PT%30.0%

10-16FT13-22

63.0%FT%59.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists15

15Turnovers6

3Steals11

2Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	38	7-14	1-4	4-5	4	3	0	0	19
Drew Steffe	G	37	4-7	3-4	0-1	4	3	1	1	11
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	38	3-8	1-3	3-4	4	1	1	0	10
Jorge Moreno	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	33	1-10	0-7	2-2	7	0	0	0	4
Davion Sykes	G	33	1-2	0-0	1-4	8	4	1	0	3
Rolyns Aligbe	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sheridan Sharp	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaia Howard	G	36	8-17	4-9	1-4	4	2	6	1	21
Bennett Stirtz	G	39	5-12	1-6	4-4	5	5	0	0	15
Cam Manyawu	F	26	4-5	0-0	3-5	5	2	1	1	11
Tavion Banks	G	25	3-8	0-0	4-4	11	0	1	1	10
Mitch Mascari	Guard	38	2-7	2-6	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	14	2-3	0-1	1-4	1	3	1	0	5
Daniel Abreu	Forward	14	1-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	2
Kael Combs	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Nate Ferguson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

90.4Offensive Efficiency119.5

119.5Defensive Efficiency90.4

-29.0Net Efficiency29.0

47.8%Effective FG%50.0%

50.4%True Shooting %51.9%

26.0%Turnover Rate10.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate38.6%

40.0%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Drake won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.