Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Illinois State

79.3%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -383

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 71

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreBelmont 81

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricBelmont

54.3MMH Power Index61.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

9.2Net Efficiency14.9

1.0Strength of Schedule-0.2

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.5Tempo70.7

54.3%Effective FG%60.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

6.2Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.6), net efficiency (14.9–9.2), recent form (10.0–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–103.7), strength of schedule (1.0–-0.2), ball security (16.8–17.8).

Final

Illinois State

63—76

Belmont

Belmont by 13 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATBelmont

24-67FG28-63

36.0%FG%44.0%

8-363PT6-21

22.0%3PT%29.0%

7-10FT14-19

70.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists19

11Turnovers10

7Steals5

3Blocks4

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	38	8-12	1-3	2-2	6	7	3	3	19
Johnny Kinziger	G	39	4-11	2-6	2-2	4	2	1	0	12
Chase Walker	F	25	4-9	0-0	0-1	6	1	1	0	8
Landon Wolf	G	13	3-8	1-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Jack Daugherty	F	23	2-9	2-7	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	20	2-10	2-8	0-1	4	2	1	0	6
Ty Pence	G	15	1-2	0-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Jordan Davis	Guard	20	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Caden Boser	Forward	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	25	3-6	1-4	7-8	2	0	0	0	14
Carter Whitt	Guard	35	6-18	0-2	0-0	7	11	2	1	12
Isaiah Walker	G	37	3-10	1-5	4-6	8	0	0	1	11
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	30	4-11	0-5	3-4	12	2	1	0	11
Sam Orme	F	20	5-5	1-1	0-1	5	2	1	1	11
Brody Peebles	Guard	20	4-6	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Drew Scharnowski	F	9	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Brigham Rogers	F	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	1	2
Win Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keith Robbins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

85.3Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency85.3

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

41.8%Effective FG%49.2%

43.9%True Shooting %52.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.3%

14.9%Free Throw Rate30.2%

53.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Belmont won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.