Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Western Carolina

65.3%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -188

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 77

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreMercer 84

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricMercer

53MMH Power Index54.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.5

1.6Net Efficiency10.1

-0.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

69.7Tempo70.9

51.1%Effective FG%53.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

1.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (116.6–112.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–111.0), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–1.2), offensive rebounding (36.1–33.6).

Final

Western Carolina

66—67

Mercer

Mercer by 1 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATMercer

24-60FG22-58

40.0%FG%38.0%

8-293PT2-20

28.0%3PT%10.0%

10-17FT21-25

59.0%FT%84.0%

35Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists12

7Turnovers5

3Steals5

6Blocks1

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chevalier Emery	G	28	7-14	5-8	1-1	2	0	2	0	20
Bernard Pelote	Forward	28	4-14	1-7	3-4	11	1	0	3	12
Marcus Kell	F	33	3-9	1-5	3-8	7	1	1	1	10
Chase McKey	F	14	4-5	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	9
Vernon Collins	F	24	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	5	0	2	6
Cord Stansberry	G	27	1-5	1-3	2-3	3	1	0	0	5
CJ Hyland	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Fischer Brown	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Brandon Morgan	G	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Holt	Forward	28	9-13	0-0	6-7	6	1	1	0	24
Ahmad Robinson	G	38	6-19	1-6	10-11	9	8	2	0	23
Tyler Johnson	Guard	36	4-13	0-4	0-0	7	2	0	0	8
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	26	2-6	0-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Brady Shoulders	G	26	1-2	1-1	2-2	5	1	1	1	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	1
Jah Quinones	Guard	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Cam Bryant	Forward	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

97.1Offensive Efficiency98.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency97.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

46.7%Effective FG%39.7%

48.5%True Shooting %47.9%

10.1%Turnover Rate7.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate43.1%

48.3%3-Point Rate34.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

Mercer won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.