Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Georgia State

87.7%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -713

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMarshall 84

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricMarshall

38.9MMH Power Index52

101.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

107.5Defensive Efficiency110.3

-6.2Net Efficiency4.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.5Tempo70.7

45.3%Effective FG%55.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate29.7%

-4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–101.3), net efficiency (4.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.3), ball security (15.6–16.5), free throw rate (37.4–29.7).

Final

Georgia State

76—79

Marshall

Marshall by 3 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATMarshall

26-56FG26-73

46.0%FG%36.0%

6-153PT8-26

40.0%3PT%31.0%

18-27FT19-24

67.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds21

8Assists16

10Turnovers8

4Steals4

6Blocks5

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	35	9-19	3-7	7-8	6	1	2	1	28
Zarique Nutter	F	25	8-13	1-1	2-7	3	2	0	3	19
Cesare Edwards	Center	40	5-12	2-4	3-4	9	1	0	1	15
Malachi Brown	G	31	1-3	0-1	3-3	5	3	0	0	5
Toneari Lane	G	31	2-6	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Nick McMullen	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	0	2
Malik Ferguson	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	2
Clash Peters	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dezayne Mingo	G	33	7-20	1-2	4-4	5	8	0	0	19
Jalen Speer	G	38	6-19	4-12	2-3	2	3	1	0	18
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	30	4-11	1-3	7-9	2	1	2	4	16
Nate Martin	Forward	33	3-6	0-1	3-4	14	2	0	0	9
Mikal Dawson	Guard	31	3-10	2-7	1-2	4	0	0	0	9
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	0	4
Cade Gibbs	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	4
Kai Spears	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Erich Harding	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

107.6Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

51.8%Effective FG%41.1%

55.2%True Shooting %46.8%

14.3%Turnover Rate11.2%

48.2%Free Throw Rate32.9%

26.8%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Marshall won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.