South Dakota logo

South Dakota

16-16
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
10.0%South Dakota
90.0%North Dakota State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -15.8
PROJECTED TOTAL158.4
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -900
North Dakota State logo

North Dakota State

27-8
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 71
Projected Total158.4
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 87

Team Comparison

43.8MMH Power Index59
110.0Offensive Efficiency115.4
110.8Defensive Efficiency100.8
-0.8Net Efficiency14.6
-4.9Strength of Schedule-4.6
-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3
72.4Tempo69.6
50.9%Effective FG%54.5%
16.3%Turnover Rate15.5%
29.8%Offensive Rebound %32.0%
46.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%
-0.6Average Margin10.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–43.8), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.0), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.8).
South Dakota COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (46.2–31.3).
Final
South Dakota logo
South Dakota
85—84
North Dakota State logo
North Dakota State
South Dakota by 1 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South DakotaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State
29-69FG28-59
42.0%FG%47.0%
6-213PT11-23
29.0%3PT%48.0%
21-29FT17-23
72.0%FT%74.0%
36Rebounds40
14Offensive Rebounds11
7Assists14
7Turnovers15
6Steals6
4Blocks3
20Fouls23

Player Box Score

South Dakota
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Chase ForteG279-181-29-1363010028
Isaac BrunsG348-121-34-4101100021
Mayuom BuomForward245-90-04-440010014
Paul BrunsGuard254-63-51-220100012
Ashton SmithF71-30-02-33000004
Kaleb StewartGuard261-71-50-00200003
Dre BullockG191-100-41-36040003
Max BurchillGuard250-00-00-03102000
Shey EberweinG130-40-20-01000000
North Dakota State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Tajavis MillerG308-151-49-1183120026
Masen MillerGuard405-95-94-410000019
Andy StefonowiczG395-93-53-456110016
Luke KasubkeGuard353-42-30-17030008
Darik DissetteGuard253-80-00-04000006
Noah FeddersenF223-90-10-16400006
Treyson AndersonF81-50-11-25110003
Jeremiah BurkeF10-00-00-00000000

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9
113.5Offensive Efficiency112.1
112.1Defensive Efficiency113.5
1.3Net Efficiency-1.3
46.4%Effective FG%56.8%
51.3%True Shooting %60.1%
9.2%Turnover Rate20.3%
42.0%Free Throw Rate39.0%
30.4%3-Point Rate39.0%
1.00Assist / Turnover0.93
Game Summary
South Dakota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.