Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Murray State

64.5%Bradley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBradley -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -182

Bradley

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreBradley 83

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricBradley

53.6MMH Power Index54.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

4.0Net Efficiency5.2

3.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

72.3Tempo69.9

54.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.7%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.9Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–53.6), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–4.0), recent form (0.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.2).

Final

Murray State

62—70

Bradley

Bradley by 8 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATBradley

19-56FG25-48

34.0%FG%52.0%

6-253PT3-13

24.0%3PT%23.0%

18-25FT17-26

72.0%FT%65.0%

32Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists6

9Turnovers8

3Steals5

1Blocks3

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	33	5-10	3-7	10-12	4	1	1	0	23
Nick Ellington	F	31	7-12	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	1	17
AJ Ferguson	Guard	40	4-10	1-3	3-4	11	1	1	0	12
Terence Harcum	Guard	31	2-12	2-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	10	1-1	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	4
JaCobi Wood	Guard	38	0-9	0-4	0-0	2	8	0	0	0
Alden Applewhite	F	14	0-2	0-2	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Justin Morgan	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Hannah	Forward	35	6-8	0-1	5-7	9	1	0	0	17
Duke Deen	Guard	34	5-12	2-7	4-4	1	1	1	0	16
Jaquan Johnson	G	26	2-5	0-1	7-13	4	3	2	0	11
Zek Montgomery	Guard	31	5-12	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Ahmet Jonovic	C	23	4-7	0-0	1-2	10	0	1	1	9
Christian Davis	Guard	27	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Corey Thomas	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Almar Atlason	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Demarion Burch	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

98.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency98.9

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

39.3%Effective FG%55.2%

45.7%True Shooting %58.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

44.6%Free Throw Rate54.2%

44.6%3-Point Rate27.1%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Bradley won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.