Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Dayton

76.0%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -317

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 70

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreVCU 79

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricVCU

59.9MMH Power Index65.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency116.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

7.0Net Efficiency13.1

5.7Strength of Schedule5.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

68.3Tempo69.5

52.0%Effective FG%53.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

47.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

Dayton

79—76

VCU

Dayton by 3 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATVCU

28-60FG23-61

47.0%FG%38.0%

9-233PT5-30

39.0%3PT%17.0%

14-16FT25-31

88.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds19

18Assists8

8Turnovers7

2Steals7

—Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	33	6-15	5-10	5-5	4	2	1	22
Malachi Smith	G	30	3-6	1-1	6-6	4	7	0	13
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	5-10	1-4	1-2	3	3	1	12
Nate Santos	Forward	32	5-11	0-3	1-1	6	3	0	11
Amaël L'Etang	F	20	4-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	10
Zed Key	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	6
Posh Alexander	Guard	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	4
Jaiun Simon	F	7	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Jacob Conner	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Bamisile	Guard	30	8-17	1-5	1-2	8	2	0	0	18
Max Shulga	Guard	39	3-13	1-9	9-10	9	3	2	1	16
Zeb Jackson	Guard	32	5-16	2-10	4-4	3	1	2	0	16
Jack Clark	Forward	36	5-8	1-3	4-5	6	1	2	0	15
Brandon Jennings	G	13	1-4	0-1	4-4	2	0	0	0	6
Luke Bamgboye	F	21	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	2	2
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	8	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Christian Fermin	F	17	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Michael Belle	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

123.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency123.1

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

54.2%Effective FG%41.8%

58.4%True Shooting %50.2%

12.4%Turnover Rate11.0%

26.7%Free Throw Rate50.8%

38.3%3-Point Rate49.2%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Dayton won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.