Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Ohio

84.7%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -554

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 75

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreToledo 86

Team Comparison

OhioMetricToledo

48MMH Power Index58.8

109.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

-1.0Net Efficiency6.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule2.3

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

71.0Tempo69.8

52.0%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

37.8%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-0.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Ohio

82—96

Toledo

Toledo by 14 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATToledo

29-59FG37-62

49.0%FG%60.0%

8-223PT4-14

36.0%3PT%29.0%

16-18FT18-20

89.0%FT%90.0%

27Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists16

8Turnovers7

6Steals4

—Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Elmore James IV	G	34	7-11	6-8	0-0	4	1	2	20
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	32	7-13	0-2	4-4	2	2	2	18
Jackson Paveletzke	G	36	5-10	0-2	5-6	1	2	0	15
AJ Clayton	Forward	28	5-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	11
Vic Searls	Forward	20	3-3	0-0	3-4	6	1	0	9
Elijah Elliott	G	27	2-11	1-4	2-2	8	4	1	7
Ajay Sheldon	G	23	0-4	0-3	2-2	0	2	1	2

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	34	10-10	0-0	2-2	7	3	1	0	22
Sam Lewis	G	31	7-11	2-5	4-4	5	2	1	1	20
Seth Hubbard	G	23	7-13	0-1	3-4	9	1	0	0	17
Sonny Wilson	G	40	6-12	0-1	1-2	4	4	1	0	13
Bryce Ford	G	30	3-6	2-4	2-2	1	1	0	1	10
Isaiah Adams	Guard	29	1-6	0-2	6-6	2	5	1	1	8
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Colin O'Rourke	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

116.1Offensive Efficiency136.0

136.0Defensive Efficiency116.1

-19.8Net Efficiency19.8

55.9%Effective FG%62.9%

60.7%True Shooting %67.1%

11.7%Turnover Rate9.7%

30.5%Free Throw Rate32.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate22.6%

1.63Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Toledo won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.