Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Northern Illinois

89.6%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -862

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 82

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricCentral Michigan

29.2MMH Power Index44

99.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

-11.9Net Efficiency-5.1

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.7Tempo69.3

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

21.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-8.3Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (105.9–99.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–111.6), net efficiency (-5.1–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–29.6), free throw rate (39.6–32.9).

Final

Northern Illinois

83—81

Central Michigan

Northern Illinois by 2 • 81.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATCentral Michigan

27-66FG24-56

41.0%FG%43.0%

12-323PT4-9

38.0%3PT%44.0%

17-25FT29-45

68.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists12

21Turnovers16

8Steals9

1Blocks6

28Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	50	9-20	6-15	12-17	9	3	2	0	36
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	30	5-14	2-7	1-2	4	0	2	1	13
Kailon Nicholls	G	48	4-12	2-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Steven Tipton	G	48	4-7	1-1	0-0	9	4	1	0	9
David Mack	Guard	11	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Mo Sall	Guard	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Jayden Mott	F	32	0-2	0-0	3-4	6	3	1	0	3
Quentin Jones	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Tsvet Sotirov	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakobi Heady	G	46	3-17	0-0	14-18	9	3	3	1	20
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	47	4-10	0-3	9-10	5	1	1	0	17
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	26	6-7	0-0	5-10	6	2	0	0	17
Cayden Vasko	G	46	5-5	3-3	0-0	7	2	1	2	13
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	50	4-11	1-3	1-3	1	2	1	0	10
Decorion Temple	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	0-4	3	0	2	3	2
Quentin Heady	F	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Drew Barbee	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.7Possessions81.7

101.6Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

2.4Net Efficiency-2.4

50.0%Effective FG%46.4%

53.3%True Shooting %52.3%

25.0%Turnover Rate20.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate80.4%

48.5%3-Point Rate16.1%

0.57Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 81.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.