Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Old Dominion

78.4%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -363

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 68

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricApp State

47.2MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency110.9

109.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

-2.4Net Efficiency9.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.2

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

70.9Tempo64.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-1.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), net efficiency (9.2–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.2).

Final

Old Dominion

61—56

App State

Old Dominion by 5 • 56.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATApp State

22-55FG18-52

40.0%FG%35.0%

7-233PT7-23

30.0%3PT%30.0%

10-11FT13-17

91.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists7

9Turnovers8

3Steals6

7Blocks3

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Durugordon	Guard	36	6-13	1-3	8-8	12	2	0	2	21
Robert Davis Jr.	G	40	7-19	4-12	0-0	4	1	0	0	18
R.J. Blakney	Forward	35	4-7	1-2	1-1	6	0	0	1	10
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	28	3-4	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	4	7
Scottie Hubbard	G	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Jaden Johnson	G	37	1-7	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Donovan Raymond	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Caden Diggs	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dani Pounds	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	36	7-15	2-4	2-2	12	0	1	1	18
Jamil Muttilib	G	19	3-6	3-4	3-3	2	0	0	1	12
Dior Conners	G	30	3-9	2-8	0-1	1	1	1	0	8
Myles Tate	Guard	37	2-12	0-6	3-3	3	0	2	0	7
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	28	2-7	0-1	3-4	2	1	1	1	7
Alonzo Dodd	G	37	1-3	0-0	0-2	3	5	1	0	2
Luke Wilson	C	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.7Possessions56.7

107.6Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

8.8Net Efficiency-8.8

46.4%Effective FG%41.3%

50.6%True Shooting %46.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

20.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

41.8%3-Point Rate44.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 56.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.