Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Colorado State

72.4%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -262

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricBoise State

55.4MMH Power Index59.5

117.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.2Net Efficiency6.8

0.4Strength of Schedule4.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%52.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate42.7%

4.6Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Colorado State

83—73

Boise State

Colorado State by 10 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATBoise State

27-47FG23-55

57.0%FG%42.0%

8-173PT7-29

47.0%3PT%24.0%

21-22FT20-23

95.0%FT%87.0%

25Rebounds27

3Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists12

10Turnovers9

8Steals3

—Blocks1

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	13-18	4-7	6-6	4	3	2	36
Kyan Evans	G	35	5-9	2-4	2-2	2	2	1	14
Jalen Lake	Guard	32	4-10	2-4	1-1	2	1	1	11
Rashaan Mbemba	F	20	3-3	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	8
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	20	0-0	0-0	5-6	3	2	1	5
Nikola Djapa	C	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	4
Bowen Born	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	3
Keshawn Williams	G	5	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	28	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0
Kyle Jorgensen	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	38	6-13	3-6	7-7	6	1	1	0	22
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	38	6-16	2-9	4-4	6	8	0	0	18
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	38	4-6	1-3	6-7	9	1	0	0	15
Pearson Carmichael	F	20	3-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	16	2-5	0-2	1-3	0	0	0	1	5
RJ Keene II	G	21	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Javan Buchanan	F	15	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

130.3Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency130.3

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

66.0%Effective FG%48.2%

72.2%True Shooting %55.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.3%

46.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

36.2%3-Point Rate52.7%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.