NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%NC State

75.2%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -303

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 76

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreMiami 84

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricMiami

60.1MMH Power Index65.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency117.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency103.0

9.8Net Efficiency14.8

6.4Strength of Schedule3.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

70.2Tempo69.2

55.1%Effective FG%55.5%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

6.9Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–60.1), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.6), net efficiency (14.8–9.8), recent form (3.6–-11.9).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.8), strength of schedule (6.4–3.6), ball security (13.1–16.2).

Final

NC State

70—72

Miami

Miami by 2 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATMiami

21-57FG28-61

37.0%FG%46.0%

9-283PT7-18

32.0%3PT%39.0%

19-23FT9-14

83.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists11

9Turnovers11

4Steals5

2Blocks6

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dontrez Styles	Guard	34	8-13	4-7	4-6	3	1	0	2	24
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	22	4-8	3-7	3-3	2	1	0	0	14
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	23	4-5	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	0	10
Michael O'Connell	Guard	38	3-11	2-8	0-0	4	4	0	0	8
Marcus Hill	G	27	2-9	0-1	4-4	7	2	1	0	8
Breon Pass	Guard	17	0-6	0-4	4-4	1	1	1	0	4
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	17	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Jayden Taylor	Guard	16	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	1
Bryce Heard	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	36	11-24	2-5	8-9	5	1	0	4	32
Brandon Johnson	Forward	33	5-11	0-3	0-3	10	0	0	2	10
Jalil Bethea	G	20	4-8	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Austin Swartz	G	36	4-9	0-5	0-0	6	3	3	0	8
Divine Ugochukwu	G	38	2-5	1-1	1-2	3	6	1	0	6
AJ Staton-McCray	G	26	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Kiree Huie	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency100.3

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

44.7%Effective FG%51.6%

51.5%True Shooting %53.2%

13.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate23.0%

49.1%3-Point Rate29.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Miami won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.