Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.0%Belmont

23.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -335

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 82

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricDrake

61.8MMH Power Index46.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.9Net Efficiency0.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.7Tempo68.6

60.7%Effective FG%52.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

10.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–46.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–109.1), net efficiency (14.9–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (14.9–17.8), free throw rate (34.4–32.7).

Final

Belmont

50—57

Drake

Drake by 7 • 58.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATDrake

20-50FG17-44

40.0%FG%39.0%

7-263PT4-19

27.0%3PT%21.0%

3-6FT19-25

50.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists7

16Turnovers11

8Steals11

3Blocks3

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Orme	F	24	6-10	1-4	0-0	6	1	2	0	13
Tyler Lundblade	G	28	3-6	3-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	9
Carter Whitt	Guard	37	4-11	0-3	0-0	3	6	1	0	8
Isaiah Walker	G	36	2-6	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	1	7
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	31	2-11	2-9	0-0	6	3	1	0	6
Drew Scharnowski	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	6
Brigham Rogers	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	1
Brody Peebles	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Aidan Noyes	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	7-17	2-6	8-11	5	1	4	0	24
Isaia Howard	G	17	4-9	1-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Daniel Abreu	Forward	28	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	2	1	2	7
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	25	1-1	0-0	4-4	6	0	2	0	6
Tavion Banks	G	20	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	26	1-3	0-0	2-4	7	1	1	1	4
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	0-5	0-4	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Nate Ferguson	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kael Combs	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.9Possessions58.9

84.9Offensive Efficiency96.8

96.8Defensive Efficiency84.9

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

47.0%Effective FG%43.2%

47.3%True Shooting %51.0%

27.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

12.0%Free Throw Rate56.8%

52.0%3-Point Rate43.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Drake won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 58.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.