California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%California

43.8%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -128

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 77

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 76

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricNotre Dame

56.5MMH Power Index49.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

7.0Net Efficiency-0.9

2.8Strength of Schedule4.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

69.9Tempo68.0

52.6%Effective FG%53.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

4.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–49.7), offensive efficiency (111.8–110.3), defensive efficiency (104.8–111.2), net efficiency (7.0–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.7–2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.6), offensive rebounding (31.4–26.6).

Final

California

110—112

Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 2 • 97.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATNotre Dame

37-81FG39-78

46.0%FG%50.0%

9-273PT10-24

33.0%3PT%42.0%

27-38FT24-31

71.0%FT%77.0%

42Rebounds50

10Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists13

10Turnovers12

6Steals8

7Blocks4

23Fouls26

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	52	11-18	5-8	9-12	3	4	2	0	36
Andrej Stojakovic	G	50	8-18	1-4	4-5	5	3	0	6	21
DeJuan Campbell	G	44	6-15	2-7	1-3	2	0	0	0	15
Mady Sissoko	Center	44	4-6	0-0	6-9	13	2	0	0	14
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	53	4-11	1-5	2-2	4	5	2	0	11
Rytis Petraitis	F	33	3-10	0-3	2-3	7	1	2	1	8
Lee Dort	F	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Spencer Mahoney	F	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Christian Tucker	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	53	13-26	4-7	13-17	3	5	3	0	43
Matt Allocco	Guard	54	9-18	4-9	2-2	3	3	0	0	24
J.R. Konieczny	F	37	5-11	1-3	2-2	8	1	1	1	13
Tae Davis	F	15	4-5	0-0	4-6	2	0	0	0	12
Julian Roper II	Guard	43	3-4	1-1	0-0	8	0	3	2	7
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	44	3-3	0-0	0-0	17	0	0	0	6
Kebba Njie	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Sir Mohammed	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Cole Certa	G	13	0-4	0-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	2
Garrett Sundra	F	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Logan Imes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

97.4Possessions97.4

112.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency112.9

-2.1Net Efficiency2.1

51.2%Effective FG%56.4%

55.5%True Shooting %60.4%

10.1%Turnover Rate12.5%

46.9%Free Throw Rate39.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate30.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Notre Dame won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 97.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.