Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.7%Grand Canyon

19.3%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -418

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 76

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 68

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricAbilene Christian

59.8MMH Power Index42.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency101.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency104.1

10.1Net Efficiency-3.0

2.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

69.3Tempo69.6

52.1%Effective FG%48.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate20.6%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

41.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

7.0Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–42.4), offensive efficiency (109.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.1–104.1), net efficiency (10.1–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.4–31.2), free throw rate (42.0–41.0).

Final

Grand Canyon

81—82

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 1 • 84.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATAbilene Christian

30-65FG29-64

46.0%FG%45.0%

4-133PT5-11

31.0%3PT%45.0%

17-26FT19-20

65.0%FT%95.0%

34Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists17

19Turnovers24

12Steals12

8Blocks4

22Fouls26

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaKobe Coles	Forward	37	8-15	0-1	1-3	4	3	3	1	17
Ray Harrison	Guard	36	4-9	1-3	7-7	2	3	0	0	16
Lok Wur	Forward	21	5-11	2-3	2-3	6	0	4	1	14
Duke Brennan	F	32	5-7	0-0	1-1	9	0	1	2	11
Makaih Williams	G	31	3-8	0-1	4-8	2	2	1	0	10
Caleb Shaw	G	22	4-12	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Styles Phipps	G	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	3	1	0	3
Collin Moore	Guard	32	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	4	1

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	37	5-9	3-4	4-4	6	3	4	0	17
Bradyn Hubbard	F	30	5-13	1-2	5-5	7	1	0	0	16
Quion Williams	G	42	6-16	0-2	3-4	5	4	2	0	15
Leonardo Bettiol	F	29	5-12	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	12
Rich Smith	G	28	3-5	0-0	2-2	5	4	3	2	8
Dontrez Williams	G	12	2-4	0-1	3-3	2	0	0	1	7
Yaniel Rivera	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Cade Hornecker	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Christian Alston	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

84.0Possessions84.0

96.4Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency96.4

-1.2Net Efficiency1.2

49.2%Effective FG%49.2%

52.4%True Shooting %55.8%

22.5%Turnover Rate28.7%

40.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

20.0%3-Point Rate17.2%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 84.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.