Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Providence

49.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADXavier -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -102

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreXavier 85

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricXavier

54.2MMH Power Index49.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

1.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.0Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

74.2Tempo71.7

55.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

37.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

1.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Providence

68—76

Xavier

Xavier by 8 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATXavier

26-54FG26-58

48.0%FG%45.0%

12-243PT7-20

50.0%3PT%35.0%

4-11FT17-21

36.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists22

17Turnovers11

6Steals8

1Blocks—

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	33	9-14	7-10	2-4	3	2	2	0	27
Ryan Mela	G	32	6-12	0-2	0-5	7	4	0	0	12
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	31	4-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	8
Jayden Pierre	G	27	3-9	2-6	0-0	5	3	0	0	8
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	37	2-9	1-2	2-2	4	3	4	0	7
Rich Barron	F	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	3
Justyn Fernandez	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Eli DeLaurier	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zach Freemantle	Forward	31	11-16	1-2	2-3	8	2	1	25
Ryan Conwell	G	37	6-14	4-10	5-6	1	5	0	21
Jerome Hunter	Forward	20	4-6	1-2	3-3	3	0	1	12
Dailyn Swain	G	29	3-9	0-0	2-2	3	3	1	8
Marcus Foster	Guard	30	2-6	1-4	1-3	7	2	3	6
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	28	0-3	0-1	4-4	4	3	1	4
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	7	1	0
John Hugley IV	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency99.9

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

59.3%Effective FG%50.9%

57.4%True Shooting %55.9%

24.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

20.4%Free Throw Rate36.2%

44.4%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.12Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Xavier won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.