Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Alabama State

70.8%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -242

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreGrambling 77

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricGrambling

38MMH Power Index41.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency100.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

-5.7Net Efficiency0.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

71.9Tempo69.9

48.2%Effective FG%49.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate20.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate42.2%

-4.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Alabama State

59—47

Grambling

Alabama State by 12 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATGrambling

22-63FG16-49

35.0%FG%33.0%

5-233PT5-14

22.0%3PT%36.0%

10-11FT10-12

91.0%FT%83.0%

43Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists11

8Turnovers14

12Steals5

2Blocks3

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	27	7-13	1-2	1-1	10	1	2	0	16
Amarr Knox	G	25	4-12	1-2	5-5	3	2	2	0	14
CJ Hines	G	31	4-11	0-3	2-2	1	1	3	0	10
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	7	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Micah Simpson	G	15	2-6	0-2	0-1	4	1	0	0	4
Micah Octave	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	6	1	2	0	3
Tyler Mack	G	15	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	18	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	20	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Flippin	F	26	7-13	2-2	3-4	4	0	1	0	19
Kintavious Dozier	G	34	1-7	1-4	6-6	2	2	0	0	9
Mikale Stevenson	G	33	4-9	0-0	1-2	4	4	3	1	9
Lou Hutchinson	G	22	3-8	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Antwan Burnett	G	28	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
PJ Eason	F	30	0-5	0-0	0-0	11	2	1	1	0
P.J. Edwards	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ernest Ross	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

94.4Offensive Efficiency75.2

75.2Defensive Efficiency94.4

19.2Net Efficiency-19.2

38.9%Effective FG%37.8%

43.2%True Shooting %43.0%

12.9%Turnover Rate22.3%

17.5%Free Throw Rate24.5%

36.5%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.