Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Alcorn State

82.9%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -485

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 72

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 84

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

29.1MMH Power Index38.7

96.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

115.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

-19.1Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule-6.0

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.7Tempo72.6

47.8%Effective FG%51.4%

19.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

32.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-13.3Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (106.4–96.0), defensive efficiency (111.6–115.1), net efficiency (-5.2–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-6.0).

Final

Alcorn State

65—63

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Alcorn State by 2 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

24-52FG26-56

46.0%FG%46.0%

9-263PT6-20

35.0%3PT%30.0%

8-12FT5-8

67.0%FT%63.0%

32Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists16

15Turnovers14

7Steals5

3Blocks1

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Lual	Guard	27	6-12	3-9	0-0	5	3	2	2	15
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt	G	25	4-11	1-6	2-2	2	1	2	0	11
Omari Hamilton	F	10	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Marcus Tankersley	G	29	2-8	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	7
Michael Pajeaud	Guard	28	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	5	0	0	7
Davian Williams	PG	29	2-6	1-4	1-2	6	2	0	0	6
Kameron Foman	Guard	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Djahi Binet	F	27	1-3	0-0	2-4	9	0	1	1	4
Josh Mitchell	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Antonio Lisenbee	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Doctor Bradley	G	39	9-14	0-1	2-5	10	5	1	1	20
Raphael Dumont	Guard	28	6-10	1-2	3-3	3	1	1	0	16
Caleb Jones	Guard	32	5-9	3-6	0-0	0	1	0	0	13
Quentin Bolton	G	21	4-9	1-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Christian Moore	Guard	40	2-10	1-5	0-0	5	4	2	0	5
Zachary Reinhart	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Kyle Brown	F	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Dante Sawyer	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Klemen Vuga	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

104.3Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.1Defensive Efficiency104.3

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

54.8%Effective FG%51.8%

56.3%True Shooting %52.7%

24.3%Turnover Rate22.3%

23.1%Free Throw Rate14.3%

50.0%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Alcorn State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.