Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Cal Poly

47.7%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -110

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 82

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 83

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricLong Beach State

46.5MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

-3.8Net Efficiency-4.0

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

76.6Tempo72.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.5%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-2.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.0), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.4).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–111.0), ball security (17.7–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

83—69

Long Beach State

Cal Poly by 14 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATLong Beach State

29-62FG24-57

47.0%FG%42.0%

18-383PT9-29

47.0%3PT%31.0%

7-10FT12-16

70.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists12

12Turnovers16

10Steals8

2Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	32	9-14	6-11	1-1	5	2	2	0	25
Owen Koonce	Guard	31	8-14	4-8	0-1	2	2	0	1	20
Isaac Jessup	Guard	34	5-15	5-13	0-0	4	4	2	0	15
Peter Bandelj	G	32	4-6	2-2	1-2	8	4	1	0	11
Cayden Ward	G	15	1-6	0-3	4-4	1	2	1	0	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	1	1
Mac Riniker	Guard	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Logan McLaughlin	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	20	7-11	4-7	3-3	3	2	0	0	21
TJ Wainwright	G	35	6-14	1-7	4-6	5	1	0	0	17
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	26	4-7	0-2	3-3	8	2	2	4	11
Austin Johnson	Not Available	30	3-5	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	0	8
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	38	2-9	2-5	0-2	4	5	4	0	6
Varick Lewis	G	24	2-7	2-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Andrew Nagy	Forward	24	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Kam Martin	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

117.4Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency117.4

19.8Net Efficiency-19.8

61.3%Effective FG%50.0%

62.2%True Shooting %53.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate22.3%

16.1%Free Throw Rate28.1%

61.3%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.