Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -372

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreWeber State 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricWeber State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.9Net Efficiency5.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

73.2Tempo71.5

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-4.3Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Sacramento State

70—83

Weber State

Weber State by 13 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATWeber State

23-51FG30-53

45.0%FG%57.0%

7-213PT12-24

33.0%3PT%50.0%

17-19FT11-15

89.0%FT%73.0%

26Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds3

10Assists11

9Turnovers5

1Steals4

3Blocks2

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	31	7-13	0-2	6-7	4	0	0	1	20
EJ Neal Jr.	G	25	5-9	3-5	5-6	3	0	0	1	18
Bailey Nunn	G	36	2-5	1-2	4-4	2	5	0	0	9
Emil Skytta	G	37	4-9	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	27	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Michael Wilson	G	31	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	9	0-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	1	2
Leo Ricketts	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Viljami Vartiainen	G	39	10-13	7-10	3-5	5	0	0	0	30
Blaise Threatt	Guard	37	10-18	2-6	4-4	6	7	2	0	26
Trevor Hennig	G	35	4-8	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Nigel Burris	F	28	2-5	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	7
Nemanja Sarenac	F	19	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Declan Cutler	F	18	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	3
Alex Tew	Center	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	3
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Saadiq Moore	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

110.9Offensive Efficiency131.5

131.5Defensive Efficiency110.9

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

52.0%Effective FG%67.9%

58.3%True Shooting %69.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate8.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

41.2%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Weber State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.