Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.4%Virginia

20.6%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -385

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 79

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreSyracuse 72

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricSyracuse

68.9MMH Power Index52.2

119.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

101.8Defensive Efficiency106.6

17.2Net Efficiency2.6

5.2Strength of Schedule5.6

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

67.6Tempo69.0

55.0%Effective FG%52.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.2%

11.6Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–52.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (101.8–106.6), net efficiency (17.2–2.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.2), ball security (15.6–16.0), free throw rate (36.2–33.2).

Final

Virginia

70—84

Syracuse

Syracuse by 14 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATSyracuse

27-52FG31-52

52.0%FG%60.0%

3-153PT6-14

20.0%3PT%43.0%

13-18FT16-19

72.0%FT%84.0%

17Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists20

12Turnovers15

9Steals6

3Blocks1

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Cofie	F	23	6-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	13
Dai Dai Ames	G	33	4-10	1-2	1-1	0	1	1	0	10
Isaac McKneely	G	32	3-10	1-6	2-2	0	1	1	0	9
Elijah Saunders	F	17	4-8	0-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	9
Blake Buchanan	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-3	3	2	0	0	8
Anthony Robinson	F	15	2-2	0-0	4-6	6	0	2	1	8
Ishan Sharma	F	9	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	33	2-8	0-2	0-0	1	4	3	1	4
Taine Murray	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
TJ Power	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Walker	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	30	11-12	0-0	3-3	10	2	1	1	25
Jyare Davis	Forward	34	6-11	2-3	1-2	4	4	2	0	15
Lucas Taylor	Guard	31	6-8	3-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	15
J.J. Starling	G	32	1-5	0-1	5-6	2	5	0	0	7
Jaquan Carlos	Guard	34	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	7	1	0	5
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	12	2-4	0-1	1-2	0	0	2	0	5
Naheem McLeod	Center	9	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Chris Bell	F	8	1-3	0-2	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Petar Majstorovic	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Anthony Clayton	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nate Fleisher	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Lobdell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Gatty	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

105.6Offensive Efficiency126.7

126.7Defensive Efficiency105.6

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

54.8%Effective FG%65.4%

57.8%True Shooting %68.8%

18.0%Turnover Rate22.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

28.8%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.