Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Utah Valley

24.9%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -302

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 78

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricTarleton State

59.1MMH Power Index44.6

113.4Offensive Efficiency103.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.6

16.1Net Efficiency1.6

-3.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.6Tempo72.2

56.0%Effective FG%49.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.8%

11.4Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

71—66

Tarleton State

Utah Valley by 5 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATTarleton State

21-47FG22-53

45.0%FG%42.0%

2-143PT5-14

14.0%3PT%36.0%

27-40FT17-23

68.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists12

15Turnovers15

3Steals5

7Blocks4

22Fouls27

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	34	6-12	0-2	13-16	6	1	1	2	25
Carter Welling	F	27	5-8	1-4	7-10	8	0	0	3	18
Tanner Toolson	G	34	4-10	0-4	0-2	3	1	0	0	8
Hayden Welling	F	10	2-3	1-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	7
Osiris Grady	F	11	2-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Ethan Potter	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Kylin Green	G	12	0-2	0-1	3-4	0	1	0	0	3
Cory Wells	F	15	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1	1
Trevan Leonhardt	G	27	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	5	1	1	0
Jackson Holcombe	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Noah Taitz	G	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	40	6-15	1-4	7-13	8	3	2	1	20
Keitenn Bristow	F	21	5-7	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	2	13
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	31	4-13	2-5	2-2	1	3	1	0	12
Bubu Benjamin	G	39	2-6	1-3	6-6	3	1	1	1	11
Chris Mpaka	F	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	0	6
Izzy Miles	G	32	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Krass	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

101.4Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.1Net Efficiency-7.1

46.8%Effective FG%46.2%

53.8%True Shooting %51.6%

21.7%Turnover Rate21.1%

85.1%Free Throw Rate43.4%

29.8%3-Point Rate26.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.