UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%UT Arlington

81.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL137.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -438

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 64

Projected Total137.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricCalifornia Baptist

49.6MMH Power Index58.3

102.7Offensive Efficiency106.5

97.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

4.8Net Efficiency7.5

-0.8Strength of Schedule1.8

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

68.1Tempo68.2

48.5%Effective FG%48.8%

20.4%Turnover Rate17.9%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

43.7%Free Throw Rate37.0%

3.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–49.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–102.7), net efficiency (7.5–4.8), strength of schedule (1.8–-0.8).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–99.0), free throw rate (43.7–37.0).

Final

UT Arlington

68—70

California Baptist

California Baptist by 2 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

27-69FG25-60

39.0%FG%42.0%

7-293PT7-17

24.0%3PT%41.0%

7-13FT13-17

54.0%FT%76.0%

40Rebounds41

19Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists8

8Turnovers11

4Steals7

3Blocks1

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Raysean Seamster	F	32	9-18	1-3	2-5	9	0	1	0	21
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	34	4-13	2-9	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Jaden Wells	Guard	19	4-9	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Darius Burford	Guard	14	3-6	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	7
Brody Robinson	G	35	2-9	2-7	0-0	1	2	1	1	6
Diante Smith	Forward	25	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Cameron Jackson	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	0	4
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	2	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	26	0-2	0-0	1-2	12	2	0	1	1

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	36	8-25	2-9	6-8	1	3	0	0	24
Kendal Coleman	Forward	29	5-8	2-2	0-0	8	0	0	0	12
Javonte Johnson	Guard	33	3-4	1-1	1-2	9	1	1	0	8
Adam Moussa	Guard	15	3-5	1-2	1-1	1	2	1	0	8
Tylen Riley	G	31	2-6	1-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	7
Martel Williams	G	25	2-7	0-1	3-3	3	0	1	1	7
Sam Silverstein	G	21	1-4	0-1	0-1	7	0	2	0	2
Bradey Henige	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jonathan Griman	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

105.1Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency105.1

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

44.2%Effective FG%47.5%

45.2%True Shooting %51.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate16.9%

18.8%Free Throw Rate28.3%

42.0%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.