Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Hofstra

43.0%Monmouth

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHofstra -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHofstra -133

Monmouth

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 72

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreMonmouth 71

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricMonmouth

59.3MMH Power Index52.2

114.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

100.9Defensive Efficiency103.8

13.1Net Efficiency2.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.4

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

66.2Tempo68.3

52.2%Effective FG%49.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

32.0%Free Throw Rate33.6%

8.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–52.2), offensive efficiency (114.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (100.9–103.8), net efficiency (13.1–2.6).

Monmouth COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.4–-2.9), free throw rate (33.6–32.0).

Final

Hofstra

60—65

Monmouth

Monmouth by 5 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATMonmouth

23-61FG22-52

38.0%FG%42.0%

9-213PT6-18

43.0%3PT%33.0%

5-9FT15-24

56.0%FT%63.0%

43Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists12

13Turnovers7

4Steals7

2Blocks7

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jean Aranguren	G	36	9-15	1-2	0-0	6	2	0	1	19
German Plotnikov	G	34	4-8	4-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Michael Graham	Forward	28	5-10	0-1	2-3	16	1	1	0	12
Cruz Davis	G	36	2-13	2-3	1-2	5	7	1	0	7
TJ Gadsden	Guard	23	2-4	1-2	1-2	5	0	1	0	6
Khalil Farmer	G	28	1-7	1-6	1-2	0	2	1	0	4
Silas Sunday	F	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Eric Parnell	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Monmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Collins	G	39	6-10	3-5	3-8	4	2	2	0	18
Jaret Valencia	F	26	4-9	2-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	12
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	33	4-16	0-7	3-4	3	4	0	0	11
Cornelius Robinson III	F	14	3-5	0-0	1-2	1	0	2	0	7
Madison Durr	G	37	1-7	0-1	4-6	4	5	1	1	6
Justin Ray	G	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Andrew Ball	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Dok Muordar	C	22	0-0	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	6	2
Chris Morgan	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Meka	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aric Demings	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

95.4Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency95.4

-7.9Net Efficiency7.9

45.1%Effective FG%48.1%

46.0%True Shooting %51.3%

20.9%Turnover Rate11.0%

14.8%Free Throw Rate46.2%

34.4%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Monmouth won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.