Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Old Dominion

78.2%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -359

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 73

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreTroy 83

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricTroy

47.2MMH Power Index54.1

107.4Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.9

-2.4Net Efficiency8.7

-0.1Strength of Schedule-2.2

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

70.9Tempo70.4

50.9%Effective FG%52.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-1.7Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–47.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.9–109.8), net efficiency (8.7–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-2.2), recent form (4.1–2.0), ball security (15.4–17.1).

Final

Old Dominion

59—75

Troy

Troy by 16 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATTroy

20-65FG26-59

31.0%FG%44.0%

6-303PT4-19

20.0%3PT%21.0%

13-18FT19-28

72.0%FT%68.0%

46Rebounds39

19Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists11

11Turnovers7

4Steals9

3Blocks6

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
R.J. Blakney	Forward	35	7-19	2-8	4-6	6	4	3	1	20
Sean Durugordon	Guard	39	6-13	2-5	0-0	16	1	0	2	14
Robert Davis Jr.	G	19	4-10	2-8	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Jaden Johnson	G	40	2-11	0-2	5-8	3	4	1	0	9
Caden Diggs	F	10	0-4	0-3	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	2
Scottie Hubbard	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Vytautas Zygas	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Jones	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dani Pounds	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	34	7-15	1-3	3-6	5	2	5	1	18
Myles Rigsby	G	35	5-10	0-1	7-7	8	1	0	1	17
Thomas Dowd	F	23	4-7	1-4	1-1	4	1	3	0	10
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	23	3-9	0-3	4-7	4	1	0	0	10
Victor Valdes	F	16	2-5	2-3	2-4	1	3	0	1	8
Jackson Fields	F	32	2-3	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	2	6
Cooper Campbell	G	17	1-5	0-2	0-1	4	1	1	0	2
Randarius Jones	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Braydon Whitaker	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Theo Seng	F	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jerrell Bellamy	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jackson Porch	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kameryn Mitchell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

89.5Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency89.5

-24.3Net Efficiency24.3

35.4%Effective FG%47.5%

40.1%True Shooting %51.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate10.6%

27.7%Free Throw Rate47.5%

46.2%3-Point Rate32.2%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Troy won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.